Mesoscale Discussion 0084
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0943 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

   Areas affected...parts of southeast Louisiana into central
   Mississippi

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 24...

   Valid 060343Z - 060545Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 24 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong storms may persist in the vicinity of the cold
   front, with marginal hail and wind possible. A tornado threat cannot
   be ruled out over time, along and east of the front.

   DISCUSSION...In the wake of the earlier warm-advection storms,
   southerly low-level winds continue to support a moist, unstable air
   mass with upper 60s F dewpoints. Storms have gradually become
   stronger along the front, with deep-layer shear nearly parallel to
   it. Meanwhile, temperatures aloft continue to cool as the upper
   trough nears.

   In the near-term, marginally severe hail is possible with cells near
   or even behind the cold front. Some of the larger cells may
   eventually pose a localized damaging wind threat should they
   transition into small bows. Low-level shear remains strong, mainly
   from east-central MS into AL. Cells upstream of this region will
   need to be monitored for supercell characteristics, and watch
   re-issuance could be needed should this occur.

   ..Jewell.. 02/06/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

   LAT...LON   30339080 30159125 30409168 30749168 31669073 32558958
               32948909 33368843 33298745 33138723 32658720 32258742
               30769000 30339080