Mesoscale Discussion 0085
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1115 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

   Areas affected...southern and eastern Mississippi into western
   Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 24...

   Valid 060515Z - 060715Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 24 continues.

   SUMMARY...Storms have transitioned into supercells, and a new
   tornado watch will be needed for the area.

   DISCUSSION...Strong shear acting for a prolonged period on storms
   along the cold front has resulted in a tornadic supercell, now over
   Jasper county, MS. The environment ahead of this activity is
   favorable for a continued tornado threat, with increasing low-level
   shear into AL. In addition, boundary layer moisture continues to
   increase, with PWAT values over 1.75" east of the cold front.
   Finally, midlevel lapse rates are favorable for robust updrafts,
   which may aid tornado, and possibly significant tornado threat.
   Large-scale lift will only increase with time, and additional
   supercells are possible both along and eventually ahead of the
   front. As such, an additional tornado watch is likely.

   ..Jewell.. 02/06/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30879051 32198928 33098835 33668715 33458662 32688670
               31898732 31278838 31038942 30839012 30879051