Mesoscale Discussion 0090
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1000 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2020

   Areas affected...southeast Alabama...west central through southwest
   Georgia and the western Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 26...

   Valid 061600Z - 061800Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 26 continues.

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to pose a threat for damaging
   wind and isolated tornadoes into the afternoon from southeast AL,
   southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle.

   DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms persists from west central GA,
   southeast AL into the western FL Panhandle. Occasional bowing
   segments and some supercell structures continue to be observed.
   Modest instability will persist in the warm sector with 800-1200
   J/kg MLCAPE, but the widespread clouds and weak mid-level lapse
   rates will maintain a somewhat marginal overall thermodynamic
   environment. The low-level jet has strengthened to 60 kt with VWP
   data indicating large low-level hodographs (0-1 km storm relative
   helicity from 300-400 m2/s2) along with 50+ kt effective bulk shear.
   Discrete storms are also developing ahead of the line from southeast
   AL into southwest GA. Further destabilization of the boundary layer
   will be supported by modest low-level theta-e advection, but will be
   mitigated by the lack of diabatic heating. This suggests the
   discrete convection will be slow to mature, but some of this
   activity may evolve into supercells which would increase the risk
   for tornadoes.

   ..Dial.. 02/06/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31778658 32548595 33258512 33368394 32548352 31298394
               30058535 30408617 30628707 31778658