Mesoscale Discussion 0098
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0648 PM CST Thu Feb 06 2020

   Areas affected...Far Northeast Ohio...Northwest Pennsylvania...and
   Western New York

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 070048Z - 070445Z

   SUMMARY...Freezing rain is developing across the region, with
   0.02-0.04 inches of accumulation per hour possible this evening.

   DISCUSSION...An area of mixed light precipitation (mainly freezing
   rain) has developed over parts of north-central Ohio and is moving
   northeastward, with very light precipitation now developing over
   parts of northwest Pennsylvania and western New York. Meanwhile, an
   elongated area of low pressure is present over adjacent areas to the
   southeast of the ongoing precipitation. As cyclogenesis continues to
   occur this evening, low pressure should become more organized, with
   a resulting deformation zone expanding across the region. The 00z
   KBUF sounding indicates a warm layer (2-3 C) residing in the 850-750
   mb layer, and with surface temperatures in the upper 20s and low 30s
   across the region, freezing rain should continue this evening, with
   0.02-0.04 inches of accumulation per hour possible for for the next
   3-4 hours.

   ..Karstens.. 02/07/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

   LAT...LON   41518004 41168057 41178115 41848095 42497960 42907904
               43317883 43367749 43007683 42427791 41847942 41518004