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Mesoscale Discussion 101
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0101
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1032 PM CST Thu Feb 06 2020

   Areas affected...the central South Carolina coast into coastal North
   Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 31...

   Valid 070432Z - 070630Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 31 continues.

   SUMMARY...A small area of the coastal Carolinas may experience
   locally strong to severe wind gusts. Tornado threat more
   conditional.

   DISCUSSION...A severe QLCS that produced wind damage over the JAX
   area and southeast GA continues to move rapidly offshore. Recently,
   northern portions of this line have shown organization into coastal
   SC, though low-level velocities have not indicated severe over land.

   Downstream of this system, an outflow boundary has pushed south
   along the NC coast, and now through MYR SC. Pressure falls continue
   across this region due to very strong south winds off the surface.
   Should the boundary reverse northward over the next few hours, there
   could be a narrow ribbon of land with severe wind potential. Surface
   obs will be monitored closely for any indication of a returning
   front. Shear will remain exceptionally strong, with little
   surface-based instability required for a localized severe threat.

   ..Jewell/Grams.. 02/07/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...CHS...

   LAT...LON   32528007 32438034 32948029 33398021 33827922 34317811
               34807704 34907645 34687618 34337638 33927741 33677813
               33127899 32857940 32657975 32528007 

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