Mesoscale Discussion 0102
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1138 PM CST Thu Feb 06 2020
Areas affected...central Florida
Concerning...Tornado Watch 33...
Valid 070538Z - 070745Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 33 continues.
SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue east across the Peninsula,
with gusty winds around 40 kt most likely. Isolated severe gusts are
possible.
DISCUSSION...A well-defined squall line continues to move rapidly
east across the state, with strong wind gusts up to 35-40 kt common.
Strong deep-layer shear exists, along with 850 mb westerlies around
50 kt.
As the main upper trough lifts toward the Mid Atlantic, large-scale
support for any further severe threat is likely to wane with
southern extent, in part due to relatively warm midlevel
temperatures. Lightning trends support this idea, having decreased
over the past few hours. Still, low-level ascent will remain
sufficient for a continued line of thunderstorms, and strong wind
gusts will remain possible. Unless convective trends increase, an
additional watch may not be needed.
..Jewell.. 02/07/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26358284 27208215 28088159 28668128 29228091 28858058
27958036 27478022 27018038 26428113 26228185 26178241
26248277 26358284
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