Mesoscale Discussion 0103
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2020

   Areas affected...south Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 070657Z - 070900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A line of storms may affect the Keys and south Florida
   through early morning, with localized strong or marginally severe
   wind gusts.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms extends from near Cape Canaveral to
   Fort Myers as of 07Z, and will continue rapidly eastward. Wind gusts
   have consistently been measured in the 35-40 kt range, with isolated
   reports to 45 kt farther north. Convergence along the cold front may
   sustain these storms through 12Z, but height falls will remain
   focused north toward the Mid Atlantic. As a result, little cooling
   aloft will occur over south Florida. 00Z soundings show poor lapse
   rates ahead of the front, but boundary-layer dewpoints near 70 F
   will contribute to around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. The strongest storms
   within the line may harness the 30-50 kt flow just off the surface,
   but even these winds will weaken as they gradually veer.

   ..Jewell/Edwards.. 02/07/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...

   LAT...LON   24498216 24768249 25388262 25718248 26468186 27278121
               28048054 28078040 27478013 26717990 25988001 25308016
               24888047 24638089 24468149 24458194 24498216