Mesoscale Discussion 0199
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
Areas affected...portions of western and central Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 55...
Valid 190628Z - 190830Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 55 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe/isolated tornado risk continues across the WW area,
including a well-developed supercell now crossing Taylor County.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a strongly rotating storm
crossing northern Taylor County at this time, within northern
portions of WW #55. KDYX WSR-88D has depicted rotational velocities
near 50 kt with this cell at times, along with a CC min/TDS near the
Nolan/Taylor County border just after 06Z. With the KDYX VWP
showing substantial veering/increasing of the flow field with height
through the lowest 2km, and a thermodynamic environment featuring
1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE, expect this risk to continue as storms
spread quickly east-northeastward at 45 kt.
Meanwhile farther south, storms continue to increase either side of
the Rio Grande, just west/northwest of Del Rio, where a similarly
favorable kinematic and thermodynamic environment exists. A such,
severe risk appears likely to increase over southern and central
portions of the watch over the next 1-2 hours.
..Goss.. 03/19/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 29310131 30610141 32780039 33499955 33459865 31179828
30009943 29310131
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