Mesoscale Discussion 0246
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0740 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

   Areas affected...Central TX

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 281240Z - 281445Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated hail and/or damaging wind gusts are possible
   across central TX for the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed over the past hour along a
   cold front extending across western portions of central TX. Storms
   thus far have exhibited pulse-like characteristics with updrafts
   developing rapidly before quickly losing intensity as the front
   continues eastward, while the storms move more northeasterly. Given
   the predominantly front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear
   vector, this overall trend is expected to continue. Storms may
   briefly obtain enough intensity to produce minimally severe hail
   before losing strength. Precipitation loading coupled with the
   moderately strong mid-level flow will also result in the potential
   for damaging wind gusts. Limited storm persistence and the
   expectation of mostly sub-severe hail and/or wind will preclude the
   need for a watch.

   ..Mosier/Edwards.. 03/28/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   32299783 32959735 32639648 30739671 29859746 30079910
               32299783