Mesoscale Discussion 0258
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0644 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
Areas affected...Central/southern IN...Central/southern OH
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67...
Valid 282344Z - 290045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67
continues.
SUMMARY...WW 67 will likely be allowed to expire at 00Z. Some severe
threat may spread back into the region from the west later tonight.
DISCUSSION...At 2330Z, two primary areas of convection are ongoing
within WW 67 across portions of OH. The first is a cluster of
elevated convection from western into central OH, and the second is
a band of convection along and just north of a weak surface boundary
from south-central into southeast OH. Some severe hail threat cannot
be ruled out with the ongoing activity, given MUCAPE of 750-1500
J/kg and strong midlevel flow and deep-layer shear across the
region. However, the elevated cluster to the north should continue
moving eastward into a less unstable environment, while further
south, increasing SBCINH with time should tend to suppress
convection along the surface boundary. With these factors in mind,
WW 67 will likely be allowed to expire at 00Z.
Further west, no substantial convection is ongoing across Indiana at
this time, and watch expiration at 00Z is expected across this
region as well. More convection is expected to move into the IN/OH
region from the west later tonight, potentially posing some severe
threat.
..Dean.. 03/28/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...
LAT...LON 39498201 39198388 39138492 38808718 39168738 39608734
40138705 40458518 40578394 40578296 40508236 40108210
39608190 39498201
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