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| Mesoscale Discussion 263 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0263
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0923 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
Areas affected...Central/eastern IN...Western OH
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 290223Z - 290400Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Some threat for severe wind and hail will continue into
the late evening. Watch issuance is possible if convection continues
to become better organized.
DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, somewhat organized convective
structures have evolved out of a broad area of weak convection
across portions of central/southern IN. Strong effective shear (in
excess of 50 kt) and sufficient instability will continue to support
the potential for occasionally organized convection into the late
evening. Storms that recently moved through the Indianapolis area
with potentially severe wind gusts have shown a tendency to
propagate east-northeastward, while other convective elements have
shown a more northerly component of motion.
Any of these transient structures will have potential for producing
damaging wind gusts, given the strong environmental wind fields, and
some marginally severe hail cannot be ruled out. If any persistent
structures evolve that appear capable of a more organized severe
threat, watch issuance is possible.
..Dean/Grams.. 03/29/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...
LAT...LON 38858659 40058629 40478612 40698543 40748392 40108364
39598362 39298398 39118446 38968523 38818624 38858659
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