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Mesoscale Discussion 263
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0263
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0923 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

   Areas affected...Central/eastern IN...Western OH

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 290223Z - 290400Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Some threat for severe wind and hail will continue into
   the late evening. Watch issuance is possible if convection continues
   to become better organized.

   DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, somewhat organized convective
   structures have evolved out of a broad area of weak convection
   across portions of central/southern IN. Strong effective shear (in
   excess of 50 kt) and sufficient instability will continue to support
   the potential for occasionally organized convection into the late
   evening. Storms that recently moved through the Indianapolis area
   with potentially severe wind gusts have shown a tendency to
   propagate east-northeastward, while other convective elements have
   shown a more northerly component of motion. 

   Any of these transient structures will have potential for producing
   damaging wind gusts, given the strong environmental wind fields, and
   some marginally severe hail cannot be ruled out. If any persistent
   structures evolve that appear capable of a more organized severe
   threat, watch issuance is possible.

   ..Dean/Grams.. 03/29/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...

   LAT...LON   38858659 40058629 40478612 40698543 40748392 40108364
               39598362 39298398 39118446 38968523 38818624 38858659 

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