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Mesoscale Discussion 0264
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
Areas affected...Illinois
Concerning...Tornado Watch 73...
Valid 290323Z - 290500Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 73 continues.
SUMMARY...Localized severe threat continues across eastern portions
of ww73. However, if current trends continue ww may be canceled
early.
DISCUSSION...Earlier convection that developed along the eastern
plume of steeper low-level lapse rates has progressed away from
higher instability and lost updraft intensity. Lightning trends are
notably down over the last hour and this is likely due to convection
beginning to entrain poorer quality inflow. While strong shear
remains supportive of organized convection, in the absence of robust
updrafts the overall severe threat appears to be waning somewhat.
Even so, a tornado can not be ruled out if new updrafts are able to
organize.
..Darrow.. 03/29/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...
LAT...LON 40088889 40908881 42218904 41848824 40958803 40068838
40088889
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