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Mesoscale Discussion 284
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0284
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0234 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2020

   Areas affected...parts of central and southern Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79...

   Valid 031934Z - 032100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Storms continue to increase in coverage across the WW
   area, but remain largely sub-severe at this time.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows the cold front continuing
   to advance southeastward/southward across central and northeastern
   Texas, with storms expanding in coverage from the Edwards Plateau
   and adjacent Rio Grande Valley, east into the Hill Country. 
   However, storms which earlier organized into a couple of supercells
   near the river, have diminished in organization over the past hour
   or so as they shift eastward.

   Meanwhile, south of the eastward-spreading anvil debris from this
   convection, stronger diurnal heating is ongoing across Deep South
   Texas, with mixed-layer CAPE now in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range here
   -- and westward into adjacent Mexico.  Some southward increase in
   convection is noted, into this heating portion of the free warm
   sector, but storms thus far remain largely disorganized.  Still,
   given ample deep-layer shear across the region, local severe risk
   continues with ongoing -- and developing -- convection.

   ..Goss.. 04/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   29100180 29970110 30430013 30829868 30449740 29559678
               28559694 28079712 27829804 27459971 29100180 

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