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Mesoscale Discussion 286
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0286
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0859 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2020

   Areas affected...Parts of Deep South Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80...

   Valid 040159Z - 040330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong storms may linger across parts of Deep
   South Texas beyond 10 PM CDT, accompanied by at least some risk for
   severe hail and locally strong surface gusts.  This threat seems
   limited enough that a new severe weather watch is not anticipated,
   but it is possible that portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80
   could be locally extended in time for an hour or two.

   DISCUSSION...The surface cold front has advanced through the San
   Antonio area, and will continue southeastward and southward into the
   middle Texas coastal plain and through the Laredo vicinity of the
   lower Rio Grande Valley during the next few hours.  Ahead of the
   front, the environment remains moist with moderately large potential
   instability.  However, it appears that mid-level capping may hold
   firm around the Brownsville area, and low-level forcing for ascent
   hasn't been sufficient to contribute to substantive upscale
   convective growth to this point.

   It is possible that ongoing scattered vigorous thunderstorm activity
   may linger another couple of hours, generally focused along the
   mid-level (around 700 mb) thermal gradient across the Corpus Christi
   county warning area, which appears to mark the northern edge of the
   stronger capping.  While some of this may at least attempt to
   develop south of the current severe thunderstorm watch, severe
   weather potential appears limited enough that a new watch is not
   anticipated.

   ..Kerr.. 04/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...

   LAT...LON   28250028 28529975 28419860 28149754 27599711 27019730
               26899776 27009886 27229977 27590073 28250028 

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