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Mesoscale Discussion 0306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0253 AM CDT Wed Apr 08 2020
Areas affected...Portions of the eastern WV
Panhandle...western/central MD...DC...and northern VA
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 86...
Valid 080753Z - 080930Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 86
continues.
SUMMARY...Overall severe threat across western MD and far northern
VA appears to be diminishing. Although strong/gusty winds remain
possible in the short term, additional downstream watch issuance
appears unlikely.
DISCUSSION...A line of storms is exiting the eastern portions of
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 86 as of 0745Z. The airmass downstream of
this ongoing convection is relatively cool/stable, with surface air
temperatures generally in the low to mid 50s. Strong mid-level
westerly flow is noted in recent VWPs from KLWX, but there will
probably be a tendency for storms to remain slightly elevated above
a near-surface stable layer as they move into central MD and
northern VA. Although isolated strong/gusty downdraft winds cannot
be ruled out, the overall severe potential appears increasingly
marginal with eastward extent. Accordingly, additional downstream
watch issuance appears unlikely at this time.
..Gleason.. 04/08/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LWX...
LAT...LON 39067904 39277803 39667732 39707664 39307661 38777683
38497778 38637910 38817918 39067904
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