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Mesoscale Discussion 313
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0313
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0316 PM CDT Wed Apr 08 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of west-central Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 082016Z - 082145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Developing thunderstorms will pose a risk for hail and
   wind in the near term, but storm interactions may limit the duration
   and coverage of the severe threat.

   DISCUSSION...Storms developing along an east-west oriented line
   across parts of west-central TN are strengthening in an environment
   with little to no inhibition and nearly 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE along
   with 50 knots of effective bulk shear. Elongated, straight
   hodographs (per RAP forecast soundings) in this region will promote
   splitting storms. Although deep layer flow oriented parallel to the
   line of storms will increase the probability of storm interactions
   with time and casts some uncertainty regarding the duration and
   coverage of the severe threat, discrete to semi-discrete modes in
   the near term will pose a risk for severe hail and strong wind.
   Trends will be monitored and a watch may be needed.

   ..Moore/Guyer.. 04/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...

   LAT...LON   35728920 35778863 35758725 35648656 35168660 35158773
               35178868 35278942 35588954 35728920 

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