|
| Mesoscale Discussion 322 |
|
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 0322
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0110 AM CDT Thu Apr 09 2020
Areas affected...Portions of northern/central MS and AL
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 94...
Valid 090610Z - 090745Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 94
continues.
SUMMARY...Storms moving into northern MS/AL may pose an isolated
large hail and damaging wind threat overnight. A downstream watch
into parts of central MS/AL may be needed.
DISCUSSION...A couple of storm clusters moving southeastward out of
southern/middle TN into northern MS/AL have recently intensified.
This may be due to a modestly strengthening 40-50 kt westerly
low-level jet noted on recent KGWX VWPs. A reservoir of rich
low-level moisture is present ahead of this convection, with surface
dewpoints generally in the mid to upper 60s. One of the storms now
moving into far northwestern AL embedded within a larger cluster is
exhibiting supercellular characteristics. Strengthening westerly
flow through mid levels is supporting around 50 kt of effective bulk
shear. And, some modest steepening of mid-level lapse rates is still
present across northern MS/AL. This suggests isolated large hail
will remain possible with any supercells that can persist overnight.
Otherwise, damaging winds should also be a threat with the cluster
moving southeastward out of northeastern MS into northwestern and
west-central AL. Depending on short term convective trends, a
downstream watch into parts of northern/central MS and central AL
may be needed in the next hour or so.
..Gleason/Thompson.. 04/09/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...
LAT...LON 34968967 34958567 33928542 33518716 33468884 34198958
34968967
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|