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Mesoscale Discussion 340
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0340
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0803 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020

   Areas affected...central/eastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 101...

   Valid 120103Z - 120200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 101
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 101.

   DISCUSSION...Storms that initiated between/west of MHK and EMP have
   gradually evolved into a cluster and have moved northeastward toward
   the Topeka area.  These storms have primarily been hail producers,
   with multiple reports of 1-1.75 inch hail and an isolated 2-inch
   report.  These reports are not suprising given the steep-lapse-rate
   environment in place across the region.  

   Latest guidance/observations suggest that these storms will continue
   on their trek northeastward through the I-70 corridor between Topeka
   and Kansas City areas, maintaining a hail risk as they do so.  An
   estimated 45-50 knot storm motion should place storms near/north of
   the Kansas City metro in the 0130Z/0230Z timeframe.

   Farther southwest, only isolated, sub-severe convection has managed
   to maintain itself across far northwestern Oklahoma, and this
   convection may reach southwestern portions of WW 101 over the next
   hour.  The extent of the severe threat in this region (upstream of
   the eastern Kansas cluster) is a bit uncertain.  Convective trends
   will be monitored, but it is likely that portions of the WW near the
   I-135 corridor may be cancelled well before the 04Z scheduled
   expiration time.

   ..Cook.. 04/12/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

   LAT...LON   38939786 39429670 40119491 40209368 39529353 38709401
               38079502 37469645 37329790 37379865 37949851 38939786 

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