Mesoscale Discussion 0346
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0415 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
Areas affected...Central Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 104...
Valid 120915Z - 121045Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 104 continues.
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms spreading into and across the Interstate 35
corridor will continue to pose a risk for severe hail and perhaps a
tornado or two. Potential for damaging wind gusts may gradually
increase to the east of I-35 by 6-8 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm intensities within the frontogenetically
forced band of convection have generally weakened, as activity
advances east-northeast of the Texas South Plains and Permian Basin
at around 40 kt. Preceding this line, scattered intense
thunderstorm activity, within the lower/mid tropospheric warm
advection regime remains largely discrete, including a few
supercells, as it spreads toward the Interstate 35 corridor between
the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex and San Antonio. However, coverage
is still increasing, and associated cold pools may begin to
consolidate supporting further gradual upscale convective growth
through 11-13Z. Until then, severe hail will remain possible in
strongest storms, with at least some continuing risk for tornadic
development.
..Kerr.. 04/12/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 31659964 32069840 32209700 31469601 30179692 29499912
29579950 30379972 30969976 31659964
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