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Mesoscale Discussion 358 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0358
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
Areas affected...southern Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 107...
Valid 122052Z - 122115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107 continues.
SUMMARY...Based on recent radar and environmental data, a strong to
intense tornado with potential peak winds of 115 to 165 mph
(EF2-EF3) is likely ongoing.
DISCUSSION...An intense supercell will continue to move through a
favorable environment over south-central Mississippi, characterized
by 0-1 km SRH around 300 m2/s2 and MLCAPE near 2500 J/kg per latest
mesoanalysis data. Recent radar signatures from KLIX as of 2044Z
reveal an intense supercell characterized by a 0.4 degree rotational
velocity between 60 and 69 kt. A tornadic debris signature has also
been noted on recent radar scans. These signatures are occurring in
an environment characterized by STP greater than 6. Previous
signatures within similar environments produced
tornado-damage-estimated wind speeds from 115 to 165 mph and
confidence is high for likely strong to intense tornado. A
longer-track tornado is ongoing and may continue based on the
rotational velocity duration and the storm moving within a favorable
downstream environment.
..Nauslar/Grams.. 04/12/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31369020 31539008 31678973 31828941 31858924 31718912
31538902 31368921 31258971 31189010 31369020
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