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Mesoscale Discussion 0370
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
Areas affected...Much of Arkansas...western Tennessee...northwestern
Mississippi...northern Louisiana...and northeastern Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111...
Valid 130056Z - 130300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111
continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging wind and hail will likely continue for the next
couple hours across remaining portions of WW 111 and WW 108. A
downstream WW will be considered pending convective trends.
DISCUSSION...Storms with a history of damaging wind gusts continue
with bowing segments/embedded rotation in an extensive linear
segment moving through central/north-central Arkansas at this time.
These storms should affect the Little Rock Metro area over the next
half hour or so. These storms are moving quickly east-northeastward
and should reach the eastern extent of WW 111 in Arkansas by around
0230Z or so. CAMs suggest that this activity will hold together
beyond that time frame, with intensity in question as the downstream
airmass has been overturned from prior convection. Nevertheless,
forcing aloft with the vigorous upstream impulse may result in at
least an isolated severe threat after 230Z in downstream areas. A
new Watch may be needed and will be coordinated with downstream
offices beforehand.
Farther south, cells/clusters in northern Louisiana and northeast
Texas have also produced wind damage and hail, and these trends
should continue through the next couple hours as well.
..Cook.. 04/13/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...SHV...
LAT...LON 36469284 36679232 36719145 36679060 36218983 35418935
34658927 33738947 33039014 32739090 32439243 31899404
31989444 32199467 32989451 33329402 33709331 34139313
36469284
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