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Mesoscale Discussion 373
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0373
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1017 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

   Areas affected...northern Georgia...southeast Tennessee...western
   and central portions of North and South Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...

   Valid 130317Z - 130445Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues across WW 112 and 113.

   DISCUSSION...While earlier, more cellular convection has
   weakened/moved out of WW 112/113, an organized band of storms --
   with embedded rotational radar signatures -- moving across northern
   Alabama will continue shifting east into northwest Georgia/southeast
   Tennessee over the next hour.  Some low-level moistening has
   occurred across the area on strong southerly surface flow, with
   upper 60s dewpoints now extending to the GA/TN border, which has
   boosted mixed-layer cape to near 1000 J/kg per RUC-based objective
   analysis.  

   The latest KFFC WSR-88D VWP shows extreme low-level and deep-layer
   shear (53 kt sfc-1 km and 86 kt 0-6 km), and therefore -- in
   conjunction with increased buoyancy -- expect risk for tornadoes and
   locally damaging winds to continue.

   Meanwhile east of the existing watches, into the western Carolinas,
   similarly strong low-level and deep-layer shear is indicated.  While
   instability is weaker, a gradual increase in CAPE with time appears
   to be fueling small cellular development.  With this convection
   possibly increasing in coverage/intensity with time, a new tornado
   watch may become necessary.

   ..Goss.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...

   LAT...LON   33978522 34098552 34918537 35738464 36278084 35887962
               33708058 33488269 33978522 

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