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Mesoscale Discussion 0373
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
Areas affected...northern Georgia...southeast Tennessee...western
and central portions of North and South Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...
Valid 130317Z - 130445Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues across WW 112 and 113.
DISCUSSION...While earlier, more cellular convection has
weakened/moved out of WW 112/113, an organized band of storms --
with embedded rotational radar signatures -- moving across northern
Alabama will continue shifting east into northwest Georgia/southeast
Tennessee over the next hour. Some low-level moistening has
occurred across the area on strong southerly surface flow, with
upper 60s dewpoints now extending to the GA/TN border, which has
boosted mixed-layer cape to near 1000 J/kg per RUC-based objective
analysis.
The latest KFFC WSR-88D VWP shows extreme low-level and deep-layer
shear (53 kt sfc-1 km and 86 kt 0-6 km), and therefore -- in
conjunction with increased buoyancy -- expect risk for tornadoes and
locally damaging winds to continue.
Meanwhile east of the existing watches, into the western Carolinas,
similarly strong low-level and deep-layer shear is indicated. While
instability is weaker, a gradual increase in CAPE with time appears
to be fueling small cellular development. With this convection
possibly increasing in coverage/intensity with time, a new tornado
watch may become necessary.
..Goss.. 04/13/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...
LAT...LON 33978522 34098552 34918537 35738464 36278084 35887962
33708058 33488269 33978522
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