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Mesoscale Discussion 380
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0380
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0856 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

   Areas affected...eastern NC

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 118...

   Valid 131356Z - 131500Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 118 continues.

   SUMMARY...Localized swaths of wind damage will probably accompany
   the pronounced bowing segments as the mature squall line moves east
   across eastern NC.  A tornado or two remains possible near the
   immediate coast where slightly greater instability resides.

   DISCUSSION...Radar imagery as of 1355z shows a strong squall line
   with embedded bowing segments/lewps quickly moving east across
   eastern NC.  The 12z MHX observed sounding show around 100 J/kg
   MLCAPE but nearly 50 kt of surface-1km shear.  Given the marginal
   buoyancy/very strong shear setup, expecting the squall line to
   continue to pose a risk for localized swaths of damaging gusts near
   inflections/bowing segments in the QLCS and a tornado risk,
   especially near the coast where slightly higher buoyancy is located.

   ..Smith.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

   LAT...LON   35967659 36167581 35197548 34477663 34327745 35967659 

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