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Mesoscale Discussion 384
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0384
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0203 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

   Areas affected...eastern MD...DE...southern NJ

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 119...

   Valid 131903Z - 132030Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 119 continues.

   SUMMARY...Pockets of strong to severe gusts 50-65 mph gusts will be
   capable of scattered wind damage through 430pm EDT.

   DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows a vigorous thunderstorm band over
   the northern Chesapeake Bay vicinity.  KBWI recently recorded an
   observed severe gust of 61mph at 237pm EDT.  The boundary layer has
   destabilized over the DelMarVa with surface temperatures warming
   into the upper 60s to lower 70s F.  The relatively cool marine
   influence has limited temperatures to the lower 60s across southern
   NJ.  Given the steeper 0-2 km lapse rates where temperatures are
   warmer, it seems the risk for severe gusts (60-65 mph) is highest
   across MD/DE.  Nonetheless, the risk for strong gusts will probably
   include southern NJ with strong horizontal momentum transport
   protruding through a less-unstable near-surface layer.

   ..Smith.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...

   LAT...LON   39807572 39257626 38807616 38687506 39387453 39737481
               39807572 

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