Mesoscale Discussion 0385
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0306 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

   Areas affected...northern Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 132006Z - 132130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated strong to severe storm or two is expected
   through the afternoon across northern Florida.

   DISCUSSION...One deeper updraft has developed across northern
   Florida along a cold front. MLCAPE in this region is 1500 to 2000
   per SPC mesoanalysis with effective shear of 45 to 50 knots. This
   will support some continued storm organization. Storm coverage is
   expected to remain limited due to weak forcing aloft and relatively
   weak convergence along the front. However, the current storm and any
   additional storm or two which can develop will pose a threat for
   isolated large hail or damaging winds given the favorable
   thermodynamic and kinematic environment in the region. 

   No watch is anticipated given the isolated and localized threat.

   ..Bentley/Grams.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29488329 29738269 30188199 30428130 30208093 29668109
               29128173 29058250 29268317 29488329