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Mesoscale Discussion 0410
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0540 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Areas affected...central/southern Louisiana and southwest
Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 121...122...
Valid 192240Z - 200045Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 121, 122 continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across the Lower Mississippi
Valley. A squall line is becoming more well defined with damaging
winds and tornadoes embedded within the line as the main threats.
DISCUSSION...A squall line continues to move eastward across the
Lower Mississippi Valley with a collocated mesolow. Strong
deep-layer mostly southwesterly flow resulting in 50+ knots of
effective bulk shear and MLCAPE of 2500+ J/kg per are developing and
maintaining deep, organized convection. The line is oriented mostly
southwest-northeast, but it has shown evidence of segments becoming
more north-south oriented, which would create more perpendicular
flow and increase the damaging wind and tornado threat. Mesovortices
have been observed in some of these more north-south segments with
tornado potential highest near the mesolow in otherwise veered
surface flow. These storms are likely to continue moving easterly
through the evening with intensification possible as the low-level
jet increases.
..Nauslar/Guyer.. 04/19/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 30999354 31539268 32039222 32179178 32049086 31689058
31009071 30559079 30089154 30249388 30999354
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