Mesoscale Discussion 0419
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0718 AM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

   Areas affected...portions of northern and central FL

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127...

   Valid 201218Z - 201345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An intense line of storms will move inland across portions
   of the northern/central Florida peninsula over the next couple of
   hours. Damaging wind gusts will be the main threat, but hail and
   possibly a tornado can not be ruled out.

   DISCUSSION...An intense line of thunderstorms just offshore the Levy
   County coast will move inland across the north-central FL Peninsula
   over the next couple of hours. These storms have displayed
   sustained, strong midlevel rotation while over the Gulf while
   occasionally displaying bowing reflectivity structures. As these
   storms spread inland, the will pose a threat for damaging wind
   gusts. Furthermore, the 12z TBW and MFL RAOB show steep midlevel
   lapse rates, while 12z mesoanalysis also indicates a plume of steep
   lapse rates extending across central FL. In conjunction with strong
   vertical shear and MLCAPE values around 2000 J/kg, more intense
   cells could produce hail. Low-level winds remain veered, but 0-1 km
   SRH per the TBW VWP exceeds 250 m2/s2, and a tornado can not be
   ruled out.

   ..Leitman.. 04/20/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29208377 29408335 29748250 29898184 29938142 29908125
               29678099 29478095 29398099 29128107 28818157 28668222
               28598301 28708347 28868365 29208377