Mesoscale Discussion 0421
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of the central/southern FL Peninsula

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127...

   Valid 201800Z - 201930Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated strong to locally damaging wind threat
   continues. The severe risk should gradually diminish this afternoon.
   An additional downstream watch is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells that developed earlier along the FL Space
   Coast have moved offshore, with a trailing broken line of storms
   continuing to move east-southeastward around 30-40 kt across the
   central FL Peninsula. Although the airmass downstream of this
   ongoing convection remains quite unstable (MLCAPE 2000-2500 J/kg)
   and deep-layer is strong, the large-scale forcing over this region
   is becoming increasingly marginal. Low-level winds have also veered
   to southwesterly, limiting hodograph curvature. Therefore, the
   primary threat for the next hour or so remains isolated strong to
   damaging wind gusts, with a lower threat for a tornado than earlier.
   Current expectations are for low/mid-level winds to gradually
   diminish through the rest of the afternoon, with a gradual reduction
   in storm organization and intensity. A downstream watch into south
   FL is not currently anticipated.

   ..Gleason.. 04/20/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   27418259 28188171 28288056 27468023 27178096 26918238
               27418259