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Mesoscale Discussion 0432
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020
Areas affected...Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130...
Valid 220432Z - 220600Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across much of ww130.
DISCUSSION...Three long-lived supercells remain active across ww138
within a broader region of convection. Very large hail has been
noted with these supercells at times as they progress southeast
along a corridor of focused low-level warm advection. In the short
term, this activity should remain robust as updrafts are being fed
from the south-southwest at 850mb where higher-PW air mass is
advancing north across the southern Plains. With time, LLJ should
refocus across northwest TX into southwest OK. Sustained warm
advection will likely aid additional elevated convection, some of
which could produce hail. While initial severe convection should
spread into the southeastern parts of the ww over the next few
hours, a convectively-active night may ultimately evolve given the
moistening profiles amidst steep lapse rates/strongly sheared
environment.
..Darrow.. 04/22/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 36449993 35389637 33629636 34719994 36449993
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