Mesoscale Discussion 0441
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0424 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020

   Areas affected...Southeast TX...Central LA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 133...

   Valid 222124Z - 222300Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues.

   SUMMARY...Conditions will remain favorable for supercells capable of
   all severe hazards, including tornadoes. A new Tornado Watch will be
   issued over portions of the region by 2145Z to replace Tornado Watch
   133.

   DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a warm front from
   southeast of PRX (in northeast TX) southeastward across central and
   southern LA. Also apparent in surface data is an axis of confluence
   within the warm sector over southeast TX. Thunderstorms have
   developed along this axis as well along and north of the warm front.
   Conditions are expected to remain favorable continued development
   along this axis as well as farther east into the open warm sector.
   VAD profiles from POE and LCH both show large and veering low-level
   winds with 0-1 km SRH around 350-400 m2/s2. These low-level profiles
   should only improve over time as the low-level jet increases.
   Overall environment supports supercells with the potential for all
   severe hazards, including tornadoes. As such, Tornado Watch 133,
   which expires at 22Z, will be replaced with a new Tornado Watch by
   2145Z.

   ..Mosier/Grams.. 04/22/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   30689642 31899555 32529267 32489177 32049123 31179141
               30499236 29849549 30689642