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Mesoscale Discussion 0452
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0931 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020
Areas affected...Far Southwest MS...Northern Southeast LA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 135...
Valid 230231Z - 230400Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 135 continues.
SUMMARY...Long-track supercell will continue to pose a risk for all
severe hazards, including tornadoes, as it moves eastward into far
southwest MS.
DISCUSSION...Long-track supercell continues to move
east-northeastward across central LA. Northward movement of the warm
front continues to be hampered by numerous showers and thunderstorm
north of the boundary. However, some slow northward progress has
been noted with the dewpoint at HEZ and HZR now 65 and 70 deg F,
respectively. Area VAD wind profiles continue to show strong
low-level veering favorable for tornadoes. Given the continued
threat, a downstream Tornado Watch will likely be needed for
portions of far southwest MS and northern southeast LA.
In the near-term, the highest tornado threat will exist immediately
downstream of the ongoing supercell over Rapides Perish LA. Recent
radar signatures have shown another increase in organization and the
downstream environment is more than supportive of additional
tornadogenesis.
..Mosier/Grams.. 04/23/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 31599230 31799004 30749003 30559136 30789276 31599230
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