Mesoscale Discussion 0533
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0344 PM CDT Mon May 04 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of southeastern MO...far northeastern
   AR...and western TN

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162...164...

   Valid 042044Z - 042145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162, 164
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The greatest threat for damaging winds and large hail
   should focus over parts of southeastern Missouri, far northeastern
   Arkansas, and western Tennessee over the next hour.

   DISCUSSION...A long lived but small bowing cluster will continue
   moving quickly into southeastern MO this afternoon. Although it
   resides to the north of a surface front, it should still be capable
   of producing occasional damaging wind gusts given its well organized
   nature and history of severe wind reports. This cluster should
   eventually encounter greater low-level moisture and related MLCAPE
   near the MO/AR border, and strengthening may occur, along with an
   increased threat for severe/damaging wind gusts. Farther south
   across far northeastern AR into the vicinity of the Memphis TN metro
   area, a lone supercell will likely remain capable of producing
   isolated large hail and strong/gusty winds in the short term. There
   may also be a non-zero chance for a tornado with this storm as it
   moves east-southeastward along a surface front, although low-level
   winds remain fairly weak this afternoon.

   ..Gleason.. 05/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

   LAT...LON   36999212 37109174 37459122 36969030 36528935 35868908
               35168918 35088982 35409046 35699033 36549207 36999212