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Mesoscale Discussion 538
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0538
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0816 PM CDT Mon May 04 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of Middle Tennessee into northern Alabama
   and northern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...

   Valid 050116Z - 050245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across WW 0166. Large hail and
   damaging gusts are the primary threat.

   DISCUSSION...An organized MCS is ongoing across southern parts of
   Middle TN, with a history of large hail up to golfball size and
   occasional damaging wind gusts. Mid-level flow paralleling MCS
   motion remains strong (60+ knots at 500 mb), with an axis of
   1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE residing downstream of the MCS. As such, the
   severe threat is expected to continue for at least a few more hours
   across WW 0166, before gradually diminishing during the overnight
   hours, as supported by the latest high-resolution model guidance.

   ..Squitieri.. 05/05/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

   LAT...LON   35448894 36078776 36208648 35778489 35308389 34818366
               34388378 34198473 34288593 35448894 

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