Mesoscale Discussion 0541
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1154 PM CDT Mon May 04 2020

   Areas affected...parts of west central and into central Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 050454Z - 050700Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Local/limited severe risk may persist for another couple
   of hours across portions of west-central and central Arkansas.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a cluster of strong/locally
   severe storms moving east-southeastward across west-central
   Arkansas, with a few stronger storms to approach the Little Rock
   area within the hour.  Though capping was evident on the 05/00Z LZK
   RAOB, warm-advection-induced ascent associated with a 40 kt
   west-southwesterly low-level jet is helping to sustain the
   convection.

   While the storms are expected to gradually weaken over the next
   couple of hours, marginally severe hail and locally strong/gusty
   winds will remain possible with stronger storms, possibly spreading
   into the Little Rock area.  Given the limited/local risk however, a
   new WW will not be required.

   ..Goss.. 05/05/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...

   LAT...LON   34989402 35379405 35469229 34969169 34419221 34739340
               34989402