Mesoscale Discussion 0548
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0457 PM CDT Thu May 07 2020

   Areas affected...Southeast TX Panhandle...western north
   TX...southwest OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170...

   Valid 072157Z - 072300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An intense supercell or two will likely develop in the
   Childress vicinity and spread east-southeast. A swath of large to
   very large hail appears likely and an upgrade to an Enhanced Risk
   for severe storms has occurred.

   DISCUSSION...Storm initiation is underway near Childress within an
   environment highly favorable for mid-level updraft rotation. Within
   a plume of low 60s surface dew points, these higher-based storms
   should quickly become supercells. Around a 100-mile wide corridor of
   weaker MLCIN should support a 3-4 hour duration of potentially
   strong supercell activity. Recent WoFS-NSSL output has been
   consistent in indicating at least one longer-tracked supercell with
   large 2-5 km UH into western north TX.

   ..Grams.. 05/07/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   33409862 33400100 33400104 34750108 35610108 35610080
               35610068 35610023 35610000 35509936 34849808 33999794
               33479798 33409841 33409862 33409862 33409862