Mesoscale Discussion 0551
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0805 PM CDT Thu May 07 2020

   Areas affected...Northwest and North-Central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170...

   Valid 080105Z - 080230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat will spread southeast across northwest into
   portions of north-central TX. Hail and damaging winds are expected.

   DISCUSSION...Lone supercell that formed near CDS late this afternoon
   has matured and turned southeast into Baylor/Wilbarger County
   region. This storm has produced large-giant hail, in excess of 3
   inches, along with strong winds. Over the next hour or so this
   supercell will approach the southeastern corner of ww170 and the
   main question is how far downstream severe convection will
   propagate. 00z sounding from FWD was strongly capped, but warm
   advection is increasing across the southern Plains. Latest WoFS
   takes this storm across Young into Parker County by 03z before
   appreciable weakening occurs. This forecast seems reasonable but
   there is considerable uncertainty whether organized severe will
   actually spread into the western portions of the Metroplex before
   updraft weakening. Will continue to monitor for possible small ww
   into north-central TX.

   ..Darrow.. 05/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

   LAT...LON   34029878 33079749 32509816 33389913 33959927 34029878