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Mesoscale Discussion 0553
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0953 PM CDT Thu May 07 2020
Areas affected...Portions of north central Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172...
Valid 080253Z - 080400Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172
continues.
SUMMARY...The ongoing supercell is expected to gradually weaken by
04Z. Large to very large hail is still ongoing.
DISCUSSION...The long-track supercell which has dropped very large
hail across a long swath from near Childress to areas just west of
the metroplex is still ongoing with golfball to baseball hail
recently reported in Jack County. WoFS has been consistently
weakening this storm considerably across Parker County for several
runs. Given the extreme capping inversion seen on the 00Z FWD
sounding, it seems unlikely this supercell will continue much
longer. However, intense and long-lived supercells with strong
internal pressure perturbations such as this have been known to
persist well into a capped/stable airmass. Therefore, while the very
large hail is expected to wane by the time the supercell enters
Tarrant county, it is certainly possible it may last 1 or 2 counties
farther east than anticipated which would impact at least portions
of the the western metroplex. Therefore, Tarrant county has been
added to severe watch 172.
..Bentley.. 05/08/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
LAT...LON 33429788 33139729 32579696 32309700 32259731 32429758
32719801 33219823 33429788
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