Mesoscale Discussion 0555
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 AM CDT Fri May 08 2020
Areas affected...the southern half of Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 171...173...
Valid 080622Z - 080815Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 171, 173
continues.
SUMMARY...Risk for damaging winds will continue spreading
southeastward across south-central and southeastern Oklahoma over
the next couple of hours.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar loop shows an strengthening, bowing
convective cluster moving southeastward across southwestern Oklahoma
at 50 kt, while other, smaller bowing clusters organize within the
pre-existing convective band over central Oklahoma.
Ahead of the convection, a zone of 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE is
indicated by RUC-based objective analyses, which should support a
continuation of robust convection over the next few hours.
Convective organization is being aided by a wind profile that veers
and increases with height from southeasterly at 10 to 20 kt at the
surface, to west-northwesterly at 50 kt at mid levels. This
kinematic environment is supporting the fast, southeasterly storm
motion, along with strong/potentially damaging outflow winds --
including a recent gust of 62 MPH at Ft. Cobb, OK. Expect the risk
for damaging winds -- and some hail -- to continue as convection
crosses the southern half of Oklahoma over the next few hours.
..Goss.. 05/08/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34649917 35349810 35249749 35459659 35219582 34679463
34019520 33729619 33809745 34119858 34649917
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