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Mesoscale Discussion 583
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0583
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0329 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

   Areas affected...Northern/central Ohio

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 142029Z - 142230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Despite a marginal thermodynamic environment, a few strong
   wind gusts may occur with a line of thunderstorms moving into
   western Ohio. Activity should diminish with eastward extent,
   particularly after sunset. No WW is anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms has continued to progress into
   western Ohio this afternoon. Several sub-severe gusts (30-40 kts)
   were observed in central Indiana earlier today. High-level clouds
   have generally limited surface heating across much of Ohio. Parts of
   southwestern Ohio, however, have remained relatively cloud free and
   temperatures have risen into the upper 70s F. The general
   expectation is for this line to continue for a few more hours into a
   marginally buoyant airmass (250-500 J/kg MLCAPE). The greatest
   potential for a strong wind gusts or two will be with the
   north-south oriented portion of the line that is perpendicular to
   VAD-sampled 40 kt mid-level flow. Better buoyancy will exist along
   the southern end of the line, but its more east-west orientation
   will be less favorable. Strong gusts should remain isolated. No WW
   is anticipated.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 05/14/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...

   LAT...LON   41118428 41578344 41748138 41328078 40408142 39888277
               39708352 39808429 39938479 40688466 41118428 

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