Mesoscale Discussion 0590
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0912 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

   Areas affected...Southeast Colorado...Southwest Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 150212Z - 150445Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A marginal severe threat is expected to continue across
   southeast Colorado over the next few hours. These storms along with
   new development should take place late this evening into the
   overnight period in southwest Kansas. Due to the marginal nature of
   the threat, weather watch issuance is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong thunderstorms has recently
   developed across southeast Colorado. These storms are located along
   the northwestern edge of a corridor of instability extending from
   the Oklahoma Panhandle into southeast Colorado. The RAP is showing
   weak instability across southeast Colorado with MLCAPE mainly in the
   250 to 500 J/kg range. This combined with 0-6 km shear near 50 kt,
   evident on the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, should be sufficient for a
   marginal wind damage and hail threat. Cell intensity may strengthen
   some as the storms move east-southeastward into southwest Kansas,
   where instability is stronger. In spite of this, the threat is
   expected to remain marginal and weather watch appears unlikely.

   ..Broyles.. 05/15/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   37119988 37050138 37360315 37740391 38280392 38710337
               38550172 37989973 37119988