Mesoscale Discussion 0603
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0358 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

   Areas affected...Central New York...extreme northeast
   Pennsylvania...southern Vermont...southern New Hampshire...western
   into central Massachussetts

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 187...

   Valid 152058Z - 152230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 187 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat is expected to continue for several more
   hours with thunderstorms ahead of the cold front across Tornado
   Watch 0187. Enhanced lift along the warm front may promote longer
   lived linear clusters capable of supporting a relatively higher
   concentration of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado.

   DISCUSSION...Over the last couple of hours, KTYX and KBGM WSR-88D
   radar data have indicated the development of organized linear
   clusters across parts of central New York, with a history of
   damaging gusts. These clusters are currently traversing a warm
   front, where enhanced low-level shear may promote transient
   low-level rotation (as recently observed in Hamilton/Herkimer
   Counties in NY), and a brief tornado risk. A slightly broader region
   of concentrated damaging gusts is also likely given linear segments
   glancing an axis of steeper low-level lapse rates.

   ..Squitieri/Dial.. 05/15/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   42037693 42587700 42957691 43287653 43487557 43857481
               43897388 43957259 44207178 43737119 43227103 42727115
               42357146 42197176 42027268 41857411 41697511 41757633
               42037693