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Mesoscale Discussion 0608
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0809 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020
Areas affected...portions of southern New
York...Massachusetts...Connecticut...and Rhode Island
Concerning...Tornado Watch 187...
Valid 160109Z - 160215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 187 continues.
SUMMARY...Although damaging winds remain possible in the near term,
a gradual weakening trend is expected over the next hour as a line
of storm moves towards the Atlantic coast.
DISCUSSION...Radar trends from KONX and KENX show a gradual
weakening trend in the squall line that is progressing across
southern NY, and into MA and CT, including areas south of WW 187.
This trend is expected to continue as this line of storms moves into
an environment characterized by more maritime influences with
temperatures in the 60s and dewpoints in the 50s along the Atlantic
coast and as diurnal cooling continues to help stabilize the inland
boundary layer. However, recent GOES IR imagery has shown some
individual storms and segments of the line cooling aloft in
conjunction with an uptake in lightning activity, suggesting
periodic and transient intensification, and thus a damaging wind
threat, remains possible in the near term.
..Moore.. 05/16/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
LAT...LON 41847339 42307233 42757137 42687086 42057053 41367141
41267252 40917377 41157439 41347475 41597466 41717437
41847339
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