Mesoscale Discussion 0610
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0856 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

   Areas affected...Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 188...

   Valid 160156Z - 160400Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 188
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue across north, central and
   southwest Texas late this evening into the overnight period. Large
   hail and wind damage will be the primary threats. Weather watch
   issuance will be needed to the east of WW 188.

   DISCUSSION...An expansive MCS is present across the southern Plains.
   The MCS is now organized into a nearly continuous line and is moving
   into the eastern part of WW 188. Ahead of the MCS, strong instabilty
   exists from north Texas into the Texas Hill Country and lower Rio
   Grand Valley. The RAP is showing MLCAPE values along this corridor
   in the 3000 to 5000 J/kg range. Although 0-6 km shear on regional
   WSR-88D VWPs is generally below 40 kt, mid-level lapse rates are
   still very steep across much of the southern Plains. This combined
   with the strong instability will be favorable for large hail with
   the more intense sections of the line. Wind damage will also be
   possible with bowing segments on the leading edge of the line.

   ..Broyles.. 05/16/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...OUN...CRP...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   27709848 28179724 28869616 29479623 30369664 31249632
               32329562 32779554 33179628 33659754 33569859 32629875
               31159900 30549949 29640025 28910049 27709959 27709848