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Mesoscale Discussion 0661
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0910 PM CDT Thu May 21 2020
Areas affected...Southwestern KS into northwestern OK
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198...
Valid 220210Z - 220315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198
continues.
SUMMARY...New severe thunderstorm watch will likely be issued before
03z. Severe threat is expected to shift southeast into the early
morning hours.
DISCUSSION...Deep convection has been very slow to move out of
western KS this evening. However, there are recent signs that
forward propagation should begin to accelerate as cold pool
intensifies in the wake of an expanding precipitation shield.
Northwest-southeast oriented instability axis favors southeast
propagation. With LLJ expected to increase over the next few hours
into this developing MCS there is increasing confidence that a new
severe thunderstorm watch will be warranted downstream into portions
of northwestern OK. This new watch will be issued before 03z.
..Darrow.. 05/22/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...
LAT...LON 39120005 38859871 36739799 35959950 36430128 37160199
38070086 39120005
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