Mesoscale Discussion 0692
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0553 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020

   Areas affected...Western and Central Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 232253Z - 240130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated wind damage threat will likely continue for a
   couple more hours across western and central Alabama. The threat
   should be too marginal for weather watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...The latest RAP shows a pocket of strong instability
   across far eastern Mississippi into western and central Alabama
   where MLCAPE is estimated in the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. A bowing
   line segments is ongoing just to the west of the instability max
   near the Mississippi-Alabama state line. This line will continue to
   move eastward into north-central Alabama over the next couple of
   hours. Low-level lapse rates are steep ahead of the line and an
   isolated wind damage threat should be maintained. But the threat
   should be too marginal for weather watch issuance.

   ..Broyles.. 05/23/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33898824 32638842 32128782 32568683 32858597 33338577
               33628585 33978617 34158684 34278753 33898824