Mesoscale Discussion 0696
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0848 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020

   Areas affected...Eastern Texas Panhandle...Western
   Oklahoma...Northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 209...210...

   Valid 240148Z - 240345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 209, 210
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to continue across western
   Oklahoma and northwest Texas over the next few hours. Wind damage
   and isolated large hail will be possible with the stronger
   thunderstorms. Weather watch issuance can not be ruled out.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 997 mb low in southeast
   Colorado. A moist airmass is in place with surface dewpoints in the
   mid 60s to lower 70s, from west-central Kansas southward into
   western Oklahoma. The RAP is analyzing strong instability with
   MLCAPE of 3000 to 4000 J/kg across much of the area. This combined
   with 700-500 mb lapse rates near 8.5 C/km will support a threat for
   isolated damaging wind gusts and large hail with organized
   multicells. However, the severe threat may become more isolated
   further to the east where deep-layer shear is considerably weaker.
   At this time, it is unclear whether an additional watch will be
   needed.

   ..Broyles/Thompson.. 05/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36899866 36419918 35620001 35400048 35210050 34800007
               34319957 33709933 33279830 33409767 33839757 34129757
               34499783 35139788 35929786 36589816 36899866