Mesoscale Discussion 0710
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0348 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

   Areas affected...West Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 218...

   Valid 242048Z - 242215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 218
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The damaging wind and large hail threat continues across
   watch 218.

   DISCUSSION...The large cluster of storms in Pecos/Terrell county has
   already produced 1.5 inch hail with 2030Z MRMS MESH suggesting hail
   over 2 inches is likely. Expect this cluster to continue to pose a
   very large hail/damaging wind threat given the very unstable and
   steep lapse rate environment. Additional storm development seems
   likely within the hour farther north along the dryline as towering
   cumulus can now be observed along most of the boundary. However
   2030Z regional VWPs show a lull in mid-level flow at MAF with
   stronger flow at LBB and DRT. This may limit storm
   organization/longevity farther north in the watch except for the
   northern most row or two of counties bordering watch 219. The latest
   runs from the HRRR suggest this activity could impact Dawson and
   Martin counties. Therefore, trends will continue to be monitored to
   see if watch 218 needs an areal extension.

   ..Bentley.. 05/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29060290 29600317 31330269 32780203 33000115 32969990
               32539978 30280036 29450090 29330114 29540134 29730152
               29740223 29650260 29060290