Mesoscale Discussion 0711
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0514 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

   Areas affected...kansas into southern Nebraska.

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 242214Z - 242345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...A few severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and
   damaging winds are likely this evening. A weather watch is likely
   needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are forming across portions of Kansas and
   Nebraska on a stationary/ cold front ahead of diffuse dryline.
   MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is present across the warm sector which
   will support robust updrafts. Mid-level flow is relatively weak, and
   displaced from the main warm sector. However, 25-35 kt of effective
   shear will still support storm organization in a mixed mode of
   supercells and line segments. An outflow boundary from previous
   convection may also serve as a focus for further storm development
   across central Kansas. A weather watch will likely be issued
   shortly.

   ..Lyons.. 05/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   37850064 38210063 38320042 38560016 38999990 39319976
               39669969 40019963 40289936 40459899 40619863 40799809
               40839769 40609743 39899741 39229739 38519732 37849738
               37039743 37049772 37080049 37380049 37850064