Mesoscale Discussion 0714
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0639 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

   Areas affected...West Texas...Texas Panhandle and Western Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 219...

   Valid 242339Z - 250145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 219
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue from the eastern Texas
   Panhandle southward into west Texas through the early and mid
   evening. The threat should eventually affect far western Oklahoma
   and the Low Rolling Plains.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar shows a line of strong to severe
   thunderstorms with a couple gaps in the line in the southern Texas
   Panhandle. To the east of this line of storms, a moist airmass is in
   place with surface dewpoints in the 60s F. The RAP is showing MLCAPE
   value now in the 3000 to 3500 J/kg range from the Low Rolling Plains
   northeastward in the southeast Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma.
   Regional WSR-88D VWPs generally have 0-6 km shear in the 25 to 35 kt
   range suggesting that most of the storms will remain multicellar.
   This combined with 700-500 mb lapse rates in the 8.0 to 8.50 C/km
   range suggests that multicells should be capable of isolated large
   hail. The stronger parts of the line will also be associated with
   strong wind gusts, some that could reach severe limits.

   ..Broyles.. 05/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   32939995 32940258 34270261 34280198 34770201 34770163
               35630169 35640106 36520110 36530095 36960094 36979947
               36839923 36599928 36599958 36149959 36139936 35139935
               35149981 35029979 35040001 34240000 34190005 33850002
               33749997 33010000 32939995