Mesoscale Discussion 0718
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0830 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

   Areas affected...Central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221...

   Valid 250130Z - 250230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Several clusters of severe storms are ongoing across
   WW221. Severe hail and wind are likely to continue with storms
   across Kansas through 0500z. Thus, the severe threat continues for
   WW221.

   DISCUSSION...Several clusters of strong to severe storms have
   maintained their intensity along and east of slow moving cold front
   across western Kansas. MLCAPE of 2000-3500 J/kg will continue to
   support robust updrafts through the 0500z expiration time of WW221.
   Severe hail remains the primary threat for the next couple of hours
   with the strong instability and steep mid-level lapse rates. Recent
   reports of greater than 2 inch hail across southwest and central
   Kansas lends support for a continued severe hail threat. While
   vertical shear remains relatively limited at 20-30 kt, the increase
   in the nocturnal low-level jet may promote some additional
   development and organization over the next couple of hours. This
   would support a greater threat for damaging winds with increased
   momentum transfer in ongoing downdrafts. Hi-resolution guidance
   supports this scenario, particularly across central Kansas, where
   upscale growth appears likely.

   ..Lyons.. 05/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   37000206 40199924 40199679 37019972 37000206